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Scottie Scheffler’s Superpower is His Floor, Not His Ceiling

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There are plenty of ways to understand Scottie Scheffler’s dominance over the last four years, but I’m not sure if any of the stats I’m about to list below speak louder than one of the wagers currently available in the BetMGM sportsbook.

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On the eve of his season debut at this week’s American Express, Scheffler owns longer odds to win five or fewer tournaments (+100) than six or more (-125).

To review, just in case those numbers didn’t hit home: Oddsmakers believe there is a five percent greater probability that he wins six or more than five or fewer.

Maybe those numbers shouldn’t be so flabbergasting when we consider that he triumphed seven times (in official PGA Tour starts) two years ago and six times last year, but those are two of just the 11 occasions since 1980 when a player won six or more times in a season.

Tiger Woods, of course, accomplished this feat six times, with only Vijay Singh, Tom Watson and Nick Price also making this list.

And yet, simply examining Scheffler’s win rate doesn’t really do justice to those aforementioned accomplishments.

For as lofty as his ceiling is, Scottie’s superpower is a floor which remains higher than almost any golfer to ever play the game and certainly is comparable with Tiger – and Tiger alone – in the modern era.

Let’s start with this: In the past four years, he’s had 87 official PGA Tour starts and made the cut in 83 of ‘em – including every time he’s played in the past three seasons. We have to go back to the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship to find the last time he wasn’t around for a weekend and while the influx of no-cut tourneys obviously helps this cause, his streak of 64 in a row trails Xander Schauffele by eight, but is 44 more than anyone else.

You want a higher floor? In that same time frame, Scheffler has posted 76 top-25 results, a rate of 87.4 percent. Even McIlroy, whom it seems rarely finishes outside the top-25, doesn’t hit 80 percent.

Most impressive, though, is his penchant for consistent high-end results. Over the past four years, Scheffler has finished in the top-10 at a rate of 70.1 percent and his top-five percentage is 54.0.

Compare that with Woods, and we’ll find that Tiger finished top-10 in 52.6 percent of his starts and top-five in 43.1 percent. Now, you might contend that it’s not fair to compare Prime Scottie with Full Career Tiger – and you wouldn’t be wrong. If we take into account that Woods’ prime years were between 1997 and 2009, we find that he posted a top-10 result 68.0 percent of the time and top-five 58.4 percent, each of which is very comparable to what Scheffler has accomplished over the past four seasons.

None of which, obviously answers the question so many want answered, especially with this win total prop on the board: Is he going to get to six victories again this season?

My initial thought is that, yes, he probably will. Scheffler presumably hasn’t lost his fastball in any singular category, and he spoke during the offseason about working on his strength and conditioning to ensure better endurance toward the end of the season.

That said, I’d be more interested in investing in his high-level floor than any ceiling. No results outside the top-25? Top-10s (or even top-fives) in every major? Sign me up.

For as proficient as Scottie has been in getting himself into the winner’s circle, he’s been even better at simply hanging around somewhere on the leaderboard on a Sunday afternoon. There’s no reason to think that will change as he embarks on a new season this week.

 

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Paige Spiranac’s surprising NFL fandom confession triggers heated debate over loyalty, authenticity, and fan culture

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The 2026 NFL Draft starts Thursday night in Pittsburgh, and the spotlight isn’t only on prospects and front offices. Golf influencer Paige Spiranac has again found herself pulled into NFL conversation, this time for her open support of multiple teams.

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With the Steelers hosting the first round, her long-standing connection to Pittsburgh has resurfaced. But it’s not just about hometown ties. Her broader fandom, which stretches beyond one franchise, continues to draw mixed reactions at a time when fan loyalty is often treated as non-negotiable.

Paige Spiranac roots for 2 NFL teams: Who are they?

Paige Spiranac has never hidden where her loyalties lie, even if they don’t fit the usual mold. She has consistently pointed to her roots while leaving space for other allegiances.

“Both my parents are from Pittsburgh so I’ve been a Steelers ..fan since the day I was born. I also love the Bills. It’s a complicated relationship…Who’s your team?” she previously asked her followers. It’s a candid admission, one that reflects personal history more than calculated fandom.

Still, the reaction has been sharp. NFL culture tends to rew ..

 

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Quiet moments on the course can say a lot about what’s coming next.

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Sometimes the most important work happens when nobody is really watching.
Lexi Thompson was out on the 18th green, working through her putting during a practice round ahead of the Chevron Championship in Houston.

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It’s a simple scene, but it shows the kind of quiet preparation that goes into these big tournaments—getting the feel of the greens, adjusting to conditions, and building trust in every stroke.

These are the small details that can shape how a player starts when the pressure kicks in.

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Predicting what will happen to Bryson DeChambeau and Phil Mickelson if LIV Golf collapses

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It looks like LIV Golf is over.

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The Saudi Public Investment Fund has reportedly decided that this league simply isn’t worth the hole it’s burning in their pocket, and they’re pulling funds at the end of 2026.

That gives them less than a year to seek new investment. While CEO Scott O’Neil seems confident, it’s going to be extremely difficult to secure funding for a league that is operating at such eye-watering losses.

So this probably pulls the curtain closed on one of the most turbulent, frustrating, confusing, and ridiculous eras in golfing history. Hopefully, we can all return to some reality after the year is over.

But there is still so much uncertainty surrounding golf’s future thanks to this. Brooks Koepka and Patrick Reed saw the signs early and jumped ship, but they did that with some leverage. So what on earth is going to happen to the rest of these players who didn’t take the olive branch when it was offered to them?

Feelings will be hurt, and careers will be ended. Let’s take a look.

Jon Rahm rejoins the PGA Tour

Koepka returned to the PGA Tour under the returning member program, which saw him pay $5 million to charity, accept that he’ll receive no FedEx Cup bonus money, and agree he cannot be a sponsor exemption for the 2026 signature events.

 

That same deal was offered to Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau. They didn’t accept it, but a similar offer will likely be handed out to them again.

 

If LIV Golf folds, Rahm will not hold the same leverage as Koepka did, but he is a bigger star at this stage of his career. Make no mistake, the PGA Tour will want him back immediately.

But Rahm does risk leaving himself without any options at all. Reed didn’t come straight back to the PGA Tour, so he’s spending a year on the DP World Tour first. You’d imagine Rahm would consider doing the same, but it might not be so easy for him.

Rahm is in a feud with the DP World Tour, as the only one of eight players to reject a deal which would have seen him retain his full-time membership. If Rahm agreed to play in six DP World Tour events this year, then he could have played on both LIV Golf and the tour. He did not agree.

For now, his membership is at risk. So, will it be possible for him to spend a season on the DP World Tour like Reed? Maybe not. That makes it all the more likely that Rahm will be back on the PGA Tour the moment LIV folds.

Bryson DeChambeau does YouTube full-time

With DeChambeau, I don’t think it’s as much of a done deal that he returns to the PGA Tour. Not immediately anyway.

He’s been negotiating his contract with LIV, which expires at the end of this season. During these negotiations, he’s made it very clear that he is completely willing to step away from full-time competition and be a full-time YouTuber.

DeChambeau’s channel has over two million subscribers, so he could feasibly do that with all of the money he’s making there.

He was annoyed to see LIV move to a four-day format, so he could commit himself fully to being the content king. It would be a wild thing to do, but it’s also exactly the kind of move you could see the two-time major winner making.

He could qualify for The Open Championship and the US Open, and earn enough points there to play The Masters and the PGA Championship. It’s possible.

He does seem to live for competition, so maybe YouTube won’t quite scratch the itch, but it is on the table for DeChambeau. At least for a year until his suspension expires. Out of Rahm and DeChambeau, the American is absolutely the least likely to take a deal.

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